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To Think or to Blink?

(Editor’s Note: Should Ham­let be liv­ing with us now and read­ing best­sellers, he might be won­der­ing: To Blink or not to Blink? To Think or not to Think? We are pleased to present, as part of our ongo­ing Author Speaks Series, an arti­cle by Blind SpotsMadeleine Van Hecke, author of Blind Spots: Why Smart Peo­ple Do Dumb Things. In it, she offers the “on the other hand” to Mal­colm Gladwell’s Blink argument.)

To Think or to Blink?

- By Madeleine Van Hecke, PhD

Is thought­ful reflec­tion nec­es­sar­ily bet­ter than hasty judgments?

Not accord­ing to Mal­colm Glad­well who argued in his best-selling book, Blink, that the deci­sions peo­ple make in a blink are often not only just as accu­rate, but MORE accu­rate, than the con­clu­sions they draw after painstak­ing analysis.

So, should we blink, or think?

When we make judg­ments based on a thin slice of time  a few min­utes talk­ing with some­one in a speed dat­ing sit­u­a­tion, for exam­ple are our judg­ments really as accu­rate as when we ana­lyze end­less reams of data?

Glad­well says sure  that’s why Blink is called the power of think­ing with­out think­ing. Glad­well tells some com­pelling sto­ries to demon­strate that power, includ­ing his open­ing gam­bit about the Greek kouros sculp­ture that two experts accu­rately detected as a fake within a few moments perusal, after months of sci­en­tific test­ing had deemed it genuine.

But Gladwell’s own exam­ples show that peo­ple are most likely to be cor­rect in their blink judg­ments when they are like the two art experts when their judg­ments rest on a mother lode of back­ground expe­ri­ence or infor­ma­tion. So a blink judg­ment might serve you well at those times but the rest of the time, you need to slow down in order to avoid the blind spots that can trip up even the smartest peo­ple. In my book, Blind Spots, I sug­gest tac­tics to help one make bet­ter deci­sions because they help side­step the pit­falls that our blind spots keep us from seeing.

While some “blink” deci­sions can be on tar­get when they’re based on our exper­tise, they don’t always serve us well, for two rea­sons. First, because in highly-charged, emo­tional sit­u­a­tions  such as when a police offi­cer becomes sus­pi­cious of some­one and fears dan­ger  blink deci­sions can result in tragedy. Glad­well acknowl­edges this he notes that some police depart­ments have adopted one-officer squad cars. Why? Because an offi­cer alone will act more slowly, often wait for back-up. This delays the time between becom­ing sus­pi­cious and tak­ing action, and it appar­ently reduces the num­ber of inac­cu­rate blink-decisions that offi­cers make.

In Blind Spots, I point out that fail­ing to stop and think is a blind spot  we don’t think because we don’t rec­og­nize this is a sit­u­a­tion in which I really need to step back from what’s going on and fig­ure out what to do. As a result we shoot off an e-mail that we later regret, or exu­ber­antly embrace a flawed mar­ket­ing plan. Every time you have ever said I real­ize now, you’re rec­og­niz­ing an ear­lier time where you failed to stop and think.

The sec­ond rea­son that expert blink deci­sions can go astray is because some­times our very exper­tise blinds us to new, more cre­ative per­spec­tives. Why, for exam­ple, did peo­ple design early train cars with no cen­tral aisles, and with brakes that had to be oper­ated by a con­duc­tor seated out­side, on top of the train car  a dan­ger­ous prac­tice? Because these early cars were almost exact repli­cas of what the expert design­ers were most famil­iar with the stage­coach. So our exper­tise can some­times trap us.

Now, I think intu­ition is impor­tant, and one of the good things about Blink is that it’s kind of a cor­rec­tive book, one that cel­e­brates the value of intu­itive think­ing and pokes fun a bit at care­ful, ana­lytic rea­son­ing. But Blink over­sim­pli­fies the issue. Blind Spots reflects more deeply on the ten­sion between ana­lytic thought and intu­ition. It’s a mis­take to enthrone logic as the sole and sure-fire way to Truth, but it’s also a mis­take to blithely accept every whim as inspired. A bet­ter slo­gan might be Don’t believe every­thing that you think. The strate­gies in Blind Spots help you fig­ure out what you should and shouldn’t believe.

Some of the sto­ries that Glad­well tells are tes­ti­mony to the mys­tery of our minds, and I absolutely agree that our minds often work in mys­te­ri­ous ways. But that mys­tery goes way beyond the nature of intu­ition. Take the evi­dence that chil­dren can be incred­i­bly log­i­cal in their think­ing. One three-year-old girl was being teased by her Aunt, who was nib­bling at the child’s toes and threat­en­ing I’m going to eat you up No! said the lit­tle girl, I’m going to eat you up! Aha, said the Aunt, but I’m big­ger than you, so I’ll eat you up first. Uh-uhretorted this young­ster: because I’ll eat your mouth first. The logic of this preschooler is quite breath­tak­ing. How did she do that?

On the other hand, there’s also research that raises the oppo­site ques­tion: the How could any­one be so dumb? ques­tion. Some stud­ies, for exam­ple, show that intel­li­gent adults con­sis­tently make mis­takes in rea­son­ing. How do you explain that? To me, the appar­ent stu­pid­ity of adults the enigma of why smart peo­ple do dumb things is a puz­zle to be solved.

Smart peo­ple do dumb things because our minds work FOR us  80 or 90 per­cent of the time. But the rest of the time they work against us: they cre­ate blind spots that trip us up. Some of these blind spots are famil­iar to us, like my-side bias — not see­ing another point of view. One smart fel­low told me what he did to get a squir­rel out of his base­ment. He opened a win­dow, piled up some planks and boxes to cre­ate a road, and set down a trail of nuts, end­ing with a heap on the patio. Now that MIGHT have been a smart thing to do — but it could have back­fired. Because that trail went both ways  pos­si­bly lead­ing the trou­ble­some squir­rel out of the base­ment, but pos­si­bly lead­ing other squir­rels INTO the base­ment. Some smart plans fail because of my-side bias. For­get­ting that there’s another point of view is one of the nat­ural blind spots that work against us.

It takes some time, it takes some effort it takes more than a blink  but pay­ing atten­tion to your Blind Spots can help you think more crit­i­cally and more creatively.

Madeleine Van HeckeMadeleine Van Hecke, Ph.D., is a licensed clin­i­cal psy­chol­o­gist, speaker, con­sul­tant, and author. She is the author of Blind Spots: Why Smart Peo­ple Do Dumb Things (Prometheus Books, Inc., 2007).

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4 Responses

  1. Michael says:

    Is thought­ful reflec­tion nec­es­sar­ily bet­ter than hasty judgments(sic)?

    Not accord­ing to Mal­colm Glad­well who argued in his best-selling book, Blink, that the deci­sions peo­ple make in a blink are often not only just as accu­rate, but MORE accu­rate, than the con­clu­sions they draw after painstak­ing analysis.”

    Er, did you read ‘Blink’ and par­tic­u­larly the last half of the book before you wrote this article?

    At least you pay some pass­ing lip ser­vice to Gladwell’s actual point, but most of this arti­cle seems to be less of an argu­ment against Glad­well and more of an argu­ment with Artie McStrawman.

    Too bad, as I’m sure you’re mak­ing some valid points and are an intel­li­gent per­son, but your style of argu­ment has really lost me as a poten­tial reader.

  2. To me, Blink’s main point is that often our seat of the pants deci­sions are as good as, or bet­ter than, ana­lyt­i­cal think­ing. Gladwell’s sec­ond impor­tant points are that intu­itive deci­sions are most likely to be cor­rect a) when we’re not under great emo­tional stress and 2) when those deci­sions are essen­tially based on “implicit” knowl­edge, espe­cially “expert” knowl­edge that is derived from a great deal of expe­ri­ence in a par­tic­u­lar field. Glad­well also agrees that there are times when our quick deci­sions lead to ter­ri­ble results. The major crit­i­cism I have of Glad­well is that he never comes to grips with the ques­tion: When should you take more time to think and ana­lyze, and when might it be cru­cial to stop and think? How would you know when to trust those intu­itions? He promises to help read­ers become bet­ter at intu­itive think­ing, but the only advice Blink has about that is to avoid mak­ing quick deci­sions in intensely emo­tional sit­u­a­tions, and (this one is more implied that stated) to increase your exper­tise so that you’ll have that base of expert knowl­edge to inform your intu­itions. I really enjoyed Blink; Glad­well is a great sto­ry­teller who can take some­times dry research and trans­late it into inter­est­ing tid­bits, and as I said I think Blink is an excel­lent anti­dote to the atti­tude that logically-minded peo­ple some­times have in which they den­i­grate any deci­sions not derived from a syl­lo­gism. But I stand by my main point which is that peo­ple need some­thing more than encour­age­ment to trust their intu­itions while giv­ing a pass­ing nod to the pit­falls of quick deci­sions. What I’ve done in Blind Spots, which is a psy­chol­ogy self-help type of book to help peo­ple become bet­ter thinkers, is to pro­vide that some­thing more.

  3. Alvaro says:

    Hello Michael, my impres­sion is that Madeleine did in fact read the book…so why don’t we just debate the case itself?

    I see the value in both Blink and Think, and see merit in help­ing peo­ple under­stand when to use each mode of decision-making, and how to sharpen both.

    Your thoughts?

  4. Barbara says:

    I was think­ing more along the lines of the organic rea­sons for decid­ing quickly or for tak­ing time to think. This deci­sion is cov­ered more in my post “Fight or Flight”.

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